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Thursday, 11 July 2013

OBSERVING JAPAN



            
Bank of Japan (source: google.com)
HOW DOES JAPAN OVERCOME ITS DEFLATION?

The Bank of Japan (BOJ) revealed a new and aggressive monetary policy to end the draught of 15 years of deflation in the world’s third largest economy. Japan may take a dramatic change in Japanese monetary policy by putting old theories to the test. The Bank of Japan has vowed to double its government bond holdings in two years period. Japan’s citizen has now realised the effort of its central bank to defeat deflation. This policy has been concluded by the central bank after two days of meeting under new Governor Haruhiko Kuroda, with an announcement that it would chase quantitative easing as long as it needed to reach its 2 percent inflation target. Kuroda has vowed to do whatever it takes to achieve the 2 percent inflation target within 2 years. Scepticism rise among economist as to whether the target can be achieved. But Tim Duy reckons that western journalists are missing the real story of the Japanese monetary rethink:

In my opinion, a higher inflation target by the Bank of Japan is not particularly interesting. After all, the Bank of Japan can't hit the current "goal" of 1 percent inflation. I don't have much faith that renaming the "goal" a "target" and increasing it to 2 percent will be like waving a magic wand. But something much more significant is afoot - the possibility of explicit cooperation, albeit perhaps forced cooperation, between fiscal and monetary authorities. The loss of the Bank of Japan's independence to force the direct monetization of deficit spending is the real story.” - Tim Duy

But Jesper Koll, head of Japanese equity research at JPMorgan Securities, believes it can be;

"You've got credit growth, you've got demand for credit and you will find that within 15 to 18 months, consumer price inflation in Japan will be well in excess of 1 percent," - Jesper Koll




JAPAN RATIFY AN INTERESTING MONETARY EASING BY “REMOVING THEIR SKIRTS”

       
On the weekend after Haruhiko Kuroda is elected as the new governor of Bank of Japan, he announced a radical monetary easing measures. The newly formed girl band whom consists of a group of university and high school students with the catchy name of “Business streets of Japan” took it to the stage of Tokyo. They promised to remove their skirts if the Nikkei, Japan’s benchmark share index, hit 13,000 after the central bank’s announcement.

(Source: google.com)

Both Nikkei and Business Streets of Japan delivered  
                                                       




PRIME MINISTER SHINZO ABE TO CONTEST BANK OF JAPAN MONETARY POLICY?

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Prime minister Shinzo Abe returned to power following the election in December and vowed to rise Japanese’s economy and plan to push bolder monetary policy than what BOJ has offered. He unveiled his radical plans in mid-November last year to overhaul the Japanese economy. His plan includes 3 factors which is aggressive monetary policy, fiscal stimulus and structural reform. This plan has helped propel the Nikkei 66 percent higher and weaken the yen against the dollar by around 26 percent.
But the Nikkei saw a sharp correction in recent months which is the fall of 20 percent in the last week of May through to mid-June, amid the tapering panic. It has now recovered roughly 14 percent.
The policies that Shinzo Abe introduced have cost the yen to drop and have given a boost to exports. BOJ may move forward by winning the elections to the upper house of parliament on July 21 but then Abe is expected to gain majority. However, if he fails to get on his feet back, the central bank may take action to reassure markets.


JAPAN CUTS INTEREST RATE TO AROUND ZERO


Japan's central bank cut interest rates to around zero in an effort to inject life into a stumbling economy. Many assumed that when Japan cut its interest rate to around zero, it will boost growth in economic. However this has not offered a miracle cure. Thus, the nine members of BOJ policy board decided to increase the target from zero to 0.1% and this has not changed since December 2008. The decision is influenced by the worries about the Japanese economy, which is being decrepit by a strong yen and persistent deflation. Recent economic indicators point towards deteriorating exports, production and corporate sentiment.

Ways of how Japan reduce its interest rate -;

  •     Reduced borrowing cost
  •        Financial socialism
  •        Helping small businesses
  •        Home Buyers
But this risk that Japan is taking has not done well but harm because low rates do not boost private demand. Instead it allows for bigger and bigger government role in the economy and low rates encourage financial socialism and crowd out private risk takers and initiative.


For more information, you can refer to -;



Written by: Izreen Rahiman

Oligopoly

           Malindo Air “the new kid on the block” vs AirAsia      

                           


Malindo Air is a new low-cost airline in Malaysia. It is a combined enterprise between National Aerospace and Defence Industries of Malaysia and Lion Air of Indonesia. Previously, the only low-cost airline in Malaysia was AirAsia. In fact, it is one of the most successful low-cost airlines in the world.  Now, after a decade as the only low-cost airline in Malaysia; Malindo Air has stepped in to be their first ever competitor. AirAsia is still a first choice to the people because they offer many destinations around the world compare to the new Malindo Air which offer flights only in Malaysia and India.

No More Monopoly. It’s Oligopoly Now
       



Oligopoly is applied in these two massive companies. Oligopoly is much like a monopoly; it is a market structure in which few firms dominate like Air Asia and Malindo Air. These two firms have one thing in common where the behaviour of Air Asia depends on the behaviour of Malindo Air in the industry-strategic interdependence.Both of these large firms are competing with each other and each of them is a price maker. Air Asia has to consider how Malindo Air will react to any modification in their price. Malindo has launched tickets worth RM69 to 89 for air travellers that wishes to go back to their hometown. However, Air Asia remains cool and unfazed by Malindo’s aggressive expansion. They reacted to it quickly and have set up a price of RM29 to all domestic destination for a short period of time. Nonetheless, this is a strategic move by Malindo to implement the low-cost airline idea, as it is obvious that Air Asia has dominated in this aspect for a long time.

       Is this the beginning of a downfall for AirAsia?


Air Asia is not really concerned about the competition posed by their competitors because they are still far away in terms of economic status. Air Asia will most probably still dominate the skies as the best low-cost airline in the world for another 5 years. As said by their chief executive Aireen Omar "We have actually reported growth consistency in terms of network expansion and financial reporting, in line with the whole AirAsia group’s growth prospects". But they are certainly welcoming Malindo as their fresh competitor so that they can improve their business, Obviously, we will always monitor the competition. We welcome it because it will make us better and sharper as to what we want to do" said Aireen. Malindo is set to kick-start its international flights by flying to India later this year to compete with AirAsia’s international routes although there are still much more to catch up. It will take a huge amount of time for Malindo to compete at the same level.


AirAsia and Malindo Air will work hard and keep competing with each other to improve. They will monitor each other’s plans and decide how to react to it. This is a good way to attract more air travellers to board low-cost airlines.
For more information, you can refer to the links given below:
Written by

Megat Shazwan Aqif, 0315429